Battleground polling

@earl-of-trumps said
Poll: Biden’s Support Collapsing in Michigan
President Joe Biden’s support is collapsing in Michigan, a CNN survey released Friday revealed.

According to CNN’s survey, former President Donald Trump is leading Biden by eight points in the key swing state, with 50 percent support to Biden’s 42 percent support. When third-party candidates are incl ...[text shortened]... lapsing-michigan/
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And more good news from this CNN poll. Enjoy!

@mchill said
IMHO It's too close to call. All I know at this point is this will be an especially bitter and nasty election between 2 old men that are not very popular. This is why I shut off the TV at night, retreat into my little office and move funny looking little wooden pieces around a chessboard.

- The bunker mentality has set in at my place. 😏

@moonbus said
I predict that the result, whatever it is, will be contested and litigated up to the highest instance, past Inauguration Day, and that there will be an interim president. Guess who ? Speaker of the House.


😵

@sh76 said
Are you saying that if Trump wins, Biden will contest and litigate up to the highest instance, past Inauguration Day??

Yikes.

That sounds like a Big Lie.

Or maybe even an insurrection.

@sh76 said
I love the CNN headlines.

CNN polls take voters’ pulse in two states that flipped blue in 2020
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/22/politics/cnn-poll-michigan-pennsylvania/index.html

And from the Google preview:

CNN Polls: Majority of voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania are dissatisfied with their presidential choices


I'm sure those would have been the same headlines had their polls shown Biden +8. 🙄

@moonbus said
I predict that the result, whatever it is, will be contested and litigated up to the highest instance, past Inauguration Day, and that there will be an interim president. Guess who ? Speaker of the House.


😵

@Earl-of-Trumps
Nah, I'd go for Miley Cyrus, boy can she twerk.

@earl-of-trumps said
Good. then the repubs should elect Arnie Schwarzenegger to the Speaker position, soon.
Either him or Billie Eilish 🙂

@mott-the-hoople said
maybe you should tell your women to stop giving it up to everyone they meet

@moonbus said
I predict that the result, whatever it is, will be contested and litigated up to the highest instance, past Inauguration Day, and that there will be an interim president. Guess who ? Speaker of the House.


😵

@kevcvs57 said
lol you think that young earth evangelical mongrel will still be the house speaker in January 25 with the job the gop house has done leading it.
Even if Trump manages to pip Biden with voter suppression and apathy on the part of the young and left wing it’s gonna be 4 more years of a divided and politically choked off Washington.
The US is done as a proactive or even react ...[text shortened]... s of trump and his fellow kleptocracy to bring about a truly progressive backlash government in 2029

@moonbus said
There is already a move to oust Johnson. The Right is revolting.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/22/politics/marjorie-taylor-greene-mike-johnson/index.html

I knew they would rue the day McCarthy acceded to demands from the former TeaParty to change the procedure for challenging the Speaker.

The streak is over. A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was just published on RCP that shows Biden up 1 point in Wisconsin.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-26/election-2024-poll-biden-gains-on-trump-in-six-swing-states

The same series of polls, however, show Trump up 7 in GA, 4 in NC, 2 in NV and 5 in AZ.

Interestingly, the poll shows a tied race in PA.

It's just one poll, of course, but this shows a more "traditional" setup of the Republican doing well in the southeast and pretty well in the southwest and the real area of decision being the upper midwest. This is the way things were 20 years ago. We'll see if the trend holds.

If, in fact, Trump is gaining amongst minorities, especially Hispanics, that could put the southeast and southwest almost out of reach for Biden, meaning that he'd have to sweep the upper midwest. We'll see what happens.

@sonhouse said
@Earl-of-Trumps
Nah, I'd go for Miley Cyrus, boy can she twerk.

@moonbus said
Why would Republicans support Arnold Schwarzenegger? He married a Kennedy. And anyway, he's ineligible to become president, even temporarily.