Originally posted by RJHindsI just picked the 20 games most recently completed before 1st Jan 2012 vs 2000+ rateds which were all found to have 20 or more non-database moves.
I did not see this before my reply. It looks like you have picked the best of
my hard fought battles. Good job.
This is the criteria I always use. I chose the cut off date because in the last couple of months you've been quite prominent in the forum discussions with regards to engine use.
My choice of games to analyse was transparent & objective. Anyone can go through your game history & see what I've done.
05 Mar 12
Originally posted by Proper KnobI have no evidence and neither do you. Now, lets see if my analysis is as
[b]These matchup rates by Proper Knob covers 3 possibe moves which is likely for anyone to match one of the 3 possible moves.
Really? What evidence have you got to support this claim?[/b]
good as a computer chess engines. I'm interested to know how good I really
am. 😏
Originally posted by ZygalskiOkay, sounds fair to me. Go ahead.
I just picked the 20 games most recently completed before 1st Jan 2012 vs 2000+ rateds which were all found to have 20 or more non-database moves.
This is the criteria I always use. I chose the cut off date because in the last couple of months you've been quite prominent in the forum discussions with regards to engine use.
My choice of games to analyse was transparent & objective. Anyone can go through your game history & see what I've done.
P.S. I just wish I could play as well OTB.
05 Mar 12
Originally posted by RJHindsThat's right Ron, there is no evidence regarding your claim that players should always get a top 3 matchup for each move. 🙄🙄
I have no evidence and neither do you. Now, lets see if my analysis is as
good as a computer chess engines. I'm interested to know how good I really
am. 😏
Clueless, unbelievably clueless.
Originally posted by RJHindsThanks for agreeing to allow the analysis to be published.
Okay, sounds fair to me. Go ahead.
P.S. I just wish I could play as well OTB.
If you want ply-by-ply analysis rather than just the cumulative game results then please let me know.
This analysis was done using the same methods that RHP Game Mods used to use before they quit their roles.
Many hundreds of benchmark games have been analysed to see just how engine-like the very best OTB GM's & pre-computer era (effectively before 1990) CC World Championship finalists play.
The thresholds as most people who are interested in these things know, are
Top 1 Match: 60%
Top 2 Match: 75%
Top 3 Match: 85%
and this represents the absolute limit of unassisted human engine-like play for non-database moves in reasonably large batches of games. These figures include all the obvious, forcing & only legal moves.
Exceeding all three % points above could be considered overwhelming evidence of engine use.
A further level of engine-like play can also be mentioned & that is what you could call idiotic or blatant engine use.
You have the 20 objectively chosen games with a large sample of non-database moves & you get
Top 1 Match: 65%
Top 2 Match: 80%
Top 3 Match: 90%
All three are well in excess of what appears to be humanly possible without the use of an engine.
Here are the results for the 20 games I analysed:
Houdini 1.5a x64 Hash:512 Time:30s Max Depth:20ply
4xAMD Phenom 2.30Ghz 4GB RAM
Game 8821710
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 26/45 ( 57.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 38/45 ( 84.4% )
{ Top 3 Match: 41/45 ( 91.1% )
{ Top 4 Match: 43/45 ( 95.6% )
{ Black: yrddraig }
{ Top 1 Match: 14/44 ( 31.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 25/44 ( 56.8% )
{ Top 3 Match: 30/44 ( 68.2% )
{ Top 4 Match: 32/44 ( 72.7% )
Game 8895566
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 26/33 ( 78.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 30/33 ( 90.9% )
{ Top 3 Match: 33/33 ( 100.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 33/33 ( 100.0% )
{ Black: Pawnb4dawn }
{ Top 1 Match: 23/32 ( 71.9% )
{ Top 2 Match: 27/32 ( 84.4% )
{ Top 3 Match: 31/32 ( 96.9% )
{ Top 4 Match: 32/32 ( 100.0% )
Game 8895571
{ White: Pawnb4dawn }
{ Top 1 Match: 24/40 ( 60.0% )
{ Top 2 Match: 35/40 ( 87.5% )
{ Top 3 Match: 38/40 ( 95.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 38/40 ( 95.0% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 29/40 ( 72.5% )
{ Top 2 Match: 34/40 ( 85.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 37/40 ( 92.5% )
{ Top 4 Match: 37/40 ( 92.5% )
Game 8914482
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 19/33 ( 57.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 25/33 ( 75.8% )
{ Top 3 Match: 27/33 ( 81.8% )
{ Top 4 Match: 29/33 ( 87.9% )
{ Black: grahamhammer }
{ Top 1 Match: 19/32 ( 59.4% )
{ Top 2 Match: 21/32 ( 65.6% )
{ Top 3 Match: 25/32 ( 78.1% )
{ Top 4 Match: 27/32 ( 84.4% )
Game 8895568
{ White: kingshill }
{ Top 1 Match: 27/42 ( 64.3% )
{ Top 2 Match: 33/42 ( 78.6% )
{ Top 3 Match: 39/42 ( 92.9% )
{ Top 4 Match: 41/42 ( 97.6% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 22/41 ( 53.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 31/41 ( 75.6% )
{ Top 3 Match: 36/41 ( 87.8% )
{ Top 4 Match: 39/41 ( 95.1% )
Game 8914481
{ White: grahamhammer }
{ Top 1 Match: 22/30 ( 73.3% )
{ Top 2 Match: 26/30 ( 86.7% )
{ Top 3 Match: 30/30 ( 100.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 30/30 ( 100.0% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 17/30 ( 56.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 24/30 ( 80.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 26/30 ( 86.7% )
{ Top 4 Match: 28/30 ( 93.3% )
Game 8895565
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 26/33 ( 78.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 32/33 ( 97.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 32/33 ( 97.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 33/33 ( 100.0% )
{ Black: kingshill }
{ Top 1 Match: 23/34 ( 67.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 33/34 ( 97.1% )
{ Top 3 Match: 33/34 ( 97.1% )
{ Top 4 Match: 34/34 ( 100.0% )
Game 8845055
{ White: cohonas }
{ Top 1 Match: 28/37 ( 75.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 33/37 ( 89.2% )
{ Top 3 Match: 36/37 ( 97.3% )
{ Top 4 Match: 36/37 ( 97.3% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 26/36 ( 72.2% )
{ Top 2 Match: 31/36 ( 86.1% )
{ Top 3 Match: 33/36 ( 91.7% )
{ Top 4 Match: 34/36 ( 94.4% )
Game 8845060
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 16/25 ( 64.0% )
{ Top 2 Match: 19/25 ( 76.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 22/25 ( 88.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 24/25 ( 96.0% )
{ Black: cohonas }
{ Top 1 Match: 23/26 ( 88.5% )
{ Top 2 Match: 24/26 ( 92.3% )
{ Top 3 Match: 25/26 ( 96.2% )
{ Top 4 Match: 26/26 ( 100.0% )
Game 8821820
{ White: PA82 }
{ Top 1 Match: 10/23 ( 43.5% )
{ Top 2 Match: 17/23 ( 73.9% )
{ Top 3 Match: 19/23 ( 82.6% )
{ Top 4 Match: 20/23 ( 87.0% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 18/23 ( 78.3% )
{ Top 2 Match: 21/23 ( 91.3% )
{ Top 3 Match: 21/23 ( 91.3% )
{ Top 4 Match: 22/23 ( 95.7% )
Game 8821766
{ White: ItsYouThatIAdore }
{ Top 1 Match: 17/39 ( 43.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 23/39 ( 59.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 26/39 ( 66.7% )
{ Top 4 Match: 33/39 ( 84.6% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 25/40 ( 62.5% )
{ Top 2 Match: 35/40 ( 87.5% )
{ Top 3 Match: 38/40 ( 95.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 39/40 ( 97.5% )
Game 8775723
{ White: rrlack3066 }
{ Top 1 Match: 25/43 ( 58.1% )
{ Top 2 Match: 35/43 ( 81.4% )
{ Top 3 Match: 40/43 ( 93.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 42/43 ( 97.7% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 28/44 ( 63.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 39/44 ( 88.6% )
{ Top 3 Match: 41/44 ( 93.2% )
{ Top 4 Match: 43/44 ( 97.7% )
Game 8775725
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 21/32 ( 65.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 25/32 ( 78.1% )
{ Top 3 Match: 31/32 ( 96.9% )
{ Top 4 Match: 32/32 ( 100.0% )
{ Black: rrlack3066 }
{ Top 1 Match: 21/31 ( 67.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 26/31 ( 83.9% )
{ Top 3 Match: 28/31 ( 90.3% )
{ Top 4 Match: 29/31 ( 93.5% )
Game 8804595
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 25/33 ( 75.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 29/33 ( 87.9% )
{ Top 3 Match: 31/33 ( 93.9% )
{ Top 4 Match: 31/33 ( 93.9% )
{ Black: grahamhammer }
{ Top 1 Match: 23/33 ( 69.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 32/33 ( 97.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 32/33 ( 97.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 33/33 ( 100.0% )
Game 8804592
{ White: grahamhammer }
{ Top 1 Match: 21/34 ( 61.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 29/34 ( 85.3% )
{ Top 3 Match: 32/34 ( 94.1% )
{ Top 4 Match: 33/34 ( 97.1% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 23/35 ( 65.7% )
{ Top 2 Match: 31/35 ( 88.6% )
{ Top 3 Match: 32/35 ( 91.4% )
{ Top 4 Match: 34/35 ( 97.1% )
Game 8650789
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 21/32 ( 65.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 25/32 ( 78.1% )
{ Top 3 Match: 27/32 ( 84.4% )
{ Top 4 Match: 28/32 ( 87.5% )
{ Black: aetheon }
{ Top 1 Match: 16/31 ( 51.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 22/31 ( 71.0% )
{ Top 3 Match: 23/31 ( 74.2% )
{ Top 4 Match: 23/31 ( 74.2% )
Game 8695484
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 32/47 ( 68.1% )
{ Top 2 Match: 40/47 ( 85.1% )
{ Top 3 Match: 44/47 ( 93.6% )
{ Top 4 Match: 46/47 ( 97.9% )
{ Black: Kings and Pawns }
{ Top 1 Match: 35/47 ( 74.5% )
{ Top 2 Match: 42/47 ( 89.4% )
{ Top 3 Match: 44/47 ( 93.6% )
{ Top 4 Match: 46/47 ( 97.9% )
Game 8695491
{ White: Kings and Pawns }
{ Top 1 Match: 35/48 ( 72.9% )
{ Top 2 Match: 42/48 ( 87.5% )
{ Top 3 Match: 44/48 ( 91.7% )
{ Top 4 Match: 45/48 ( 93.8% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 28/48 ( 58.3% )
{ Top 2 Match: 38/48 ( 79.2% )
{ Top 3 Match: 44/48 ( 91.7% )
{ Top 4 Match: 44/48 ( 91.7% )
Game 8653987
{ White: vkim }
{ Top 1 Match: 39/64 ( 60.9% )
{ Top 2 Match: 55/64 ( 85.9% )
{ Top 3 Match: 58/64 ( 90.6% )
{ Top 4 Match: 61/64 ( 95.3% )
{ Black: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 52/64 ( 81.3% )
{ Top 2 Match: 60/64 ( 93.8% )
{ Top 3 Match: 64/64 ( 100.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 64/64 ( 100.0% )
Game 8653988
{ White: RJHinds }
{ Top 1 Match: 30/53 ( 56.6% )
{ Top 2 Match: 38/53 ( 71.7% )
{ Top 3 Match: 44/53 ( 83.0% )
{ Top 4 Match: 45/53 ( 84.9% )
{ Black: vkim }
{ Top 1 Match: 42/54 ( 77.8% )
{ Top 2 Match: 52/54 ( 96.3% )
{ Top 3 Match: 53/54 ( 98.1% )
{ Top 4 Match: 54/54 ( 100.0% )
Batch Summary
RJHinds (Games: 20)
Top 1 Match: 510/767 ( 66.5% )
Top 2 Match: 645/767 ( 84.1% )
Top 3 Match: 704/767 ( 91.8% )
Top 4 Match: 728/767 ( 94.9% )
Originally posted by watchyourbackrankPa82 is a real player, I am not surprised his numbers reflect that. Many of our "admired" top players have got a houdini chip in their noggins it seems....
jesus christ.
either there's something wrong with the analysis method
or else (almost) everyone is playing like chess programs
thanks for this Zygalski, removes all doubt.
05 Mar 12
Originally posted by watchyourbackrankCertainly there is enough evidence to put people under suspicion. Heck simply being on the front page is reason enough to put people under suspicion. What would be interesting is to see the figures for the entire front page. I'm all for ID cards.. if you''ve nothing to hide then what's the problem ?
jesus christ.
either there's something wrong with the analysis method
or else (almost) everyone is playing like chess programs
Originally posted by thaughbaerWhat do you understand with ID card?
Certainly there is enough evidence to put people under suspicion. Heck simply being on the front page is reason enough to put people under suspicion. What would be interesting is to see the figures for the entire front page. I'm all for ID cards.. if you''ve nothing to hide then what's the problem ?
05 Mar 12
Originally posted by ZygalskiOf the Top 1 Match, I do not see any match making a grade of A over 90%.
Thanks for agreeing to allow the analysis to be published.
If you want ply-by-ply analysis rather than just the cumulative game results then please let me know.
This analysis was done using the same methods that RHP Game Mods used to use before they quit their roles.
Many hundreds of benchmark games have been analysed to see just how engine-like the ve ...[text shortened]... p 2 Match: 645/767 ( 84.1% )
Top 3 Match: 704/767 ( 91.8% )
Top 4 Match: 728/767 ( 94.9% )
The best grade I see is B+ by cohanas with 88.5% and I was able to get a
B- with 81.3. However, the total of 66.5% is a D grade in my book. I would
not accuse someone of cheating on the SAT with those grades.
Originally posted by RJHindsIts not about how good the moves are its about how much like an engine they are. There are many human moves which are just as good or better than the box moves that fall outside the top matchup more often than 35% of the time and then when you combine this with errors that the human is prone to make over a 20 game stretch the moves should not correlate at least 40% of the time. This is for just the top move in reply to your comment about the top move.
Of the Top 1 Match, I do not see any match making a grade of A over 90%.
The best grade I see is B+ by cohanas with 88.5% and I was able to get a
B- with 81.3. However, the total of 66.5% is a D grade in my book. I would
not accuse someone of cheating on the SAT with those grades.
Originally posted by tomtom232Oh, I see, you like to see errors and blunders in the games. I am sure I made
Its not about how good the moves are its about how much like an engine they are. There are many human moves which are just as good or better than the box moves that fall outside the top matchup more often than 35% of the time and then when you combine this with errors that the human is prone to make over a 20 game stretch the moves should not correlate at ...[text shortened]... east 40% of the time. This is for just the top move in reply to your comment about the top move.
some, since I did not win or draw all those games.