Science
20 Mar 11
Originally posted by AgergI didn't run 500,000,000 trials but 15 of the largest quakes capable of causing the most single-handed dmg to the earth's crust and adding to the previous dmg. Go smaller and it will be prone to more and more liability.
Let's put it another way, suppose I fire up code::blocks and get it to run 500,000,000 trials of 10 coin flips and I treat each flip as having been performed each year.
If I extracted 11 contiguous trials where the data had the same relationship which supports your hypothesis should I then conclude there is a particular trend overall? Because that's what you seem to be asking of us with your earthquake hypothesis.
Originally posted by KostenuikWell the earth has been playing the earthquake game for a *long* time; indeed given the current estimate of the earth's age being ~4.6 billion years old (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Earth), and looking only as far back as say, a billion years, does it not seem even mildly plausible to you that a similar run could have happened during at least one 100 year interval of time?
I didn't run 500,000,000 trials but 15 of the largest quakes capable of causing the most single-handed dmg to the earth's crust and adding to the previous dmg. Go smaller and it will be prone to more and more liability.
If so, why wouldn't that trend have continued (such that we have a world capable of supporting humans who measure quakes now)?
If not, why not?
Originally posted by KostenuikNevertheless, stop the astroturfing already, chuck.
He is putting his makeup on. 🙂.
And guys, please stop trying to argue with the astroturfer. It'll never admit to the truth no matter how much you try to feed it facts. Facts do not exist unless they conform to the pet theory. Reality does not exist. Real science is futile. Just don't bother.
Richard
Originally posted by Shallow BlueYes, this is why I resorted to asking for a source. Dialogue is impossible.
And guys, please stop trying to argue with the astroturfer. It'll never admit to the truth no matter how much you try to feed it facts. Facts do not exist unless they conform to the pet theory. Reality does not exist. Real science is futile. Just don't bother.
Originally posted by AgergI am saying that trend has continued through the majority of history where if we had the technology to record quakes in our past it would show the same trends over decades of time. The plates build up pressure but do not release until one big one goes and it's all downhill from there until we get back to calm.
Well the earth has been playing the earthquake game for a *long* time; indeed given the current estimate of the earth's age being ~4.6 billion years old (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Earth), and looking only as far back as say, a billion years, does it not seem even mildly plausible to you that a similar run could have happened during [b]at l h that we have a world capable of supporting humans who measure quakes now)?
If not, why not?
Originally posted by Shallow BlueTruth is buddy that I was showing concern before the Japan earthquake and sure enough it ended up happening shortly afterwards.
Nevertheless, stop the astroturfing already, chuck.
And guys, please stop trying to argue with the astroturfer. It'll never admit to the truth no matter how much you try to feed it facts. Facts do not exist unless they conform to the pet theory. Reality does not exist. Real science is futile. Just don't bother.
Richard
Originally posted by KostenuikSo you're right because you glanced at the data and the world's seismologists are wrong?
Time and size. You parrot on the same repatative arguments but you are not willing to specify what is meant by the links that you give.
If you believe your personally invented hypothesis the answer to that question must be yes. Is it?