Go back
COVID cases surge in Great Lakes, Coldest parts of Northeast

COVID cases surge in Great Lakes, Coldest parts of Northeast

Debates

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9627
Clock
18 Nov 21

@sh76 said
https://covidestim.org/

Minnesota. Wisconsin. Michigan. Vermont. New Hampshire. Upstate New York.

What do these places have in common, aside from that they're all surging now in COVID cases?

I'll give you a hint. It's not that they all brought in Ron DeSantis to consult on COVID policy.
LOL you're still on this jag?

For every 100,000 Floridians, 70 residents died over the summer, while for every 100,000 Californians, 12 residents died.

Florida recorded 14,334 COVID-19 deaths in the summer — the worst tally of any state. California recorded 4,874.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

New York

Joined
26 Dec 07
Moves
17585
Clock
18 Nov 21

@wildgrass said
LOL you're still on this jag?

For every 100,000 Floridians, 70 residents died over the summer, while for every 100,000 Californians, 12 residents died.

Florida recorded 14,334 COVID-19 deaths in the summer — the worst tally of any state. California recorded 4,874.
First, do you concede that COVID surges are primarily seasonal?

California has a very different climate pattern than Florida. Florida's peak season is naturally summer, while California's is not. Comparisons based on specific periods of time in different climates are apples and oranges.

Anyway, why compare FL to CA and not, say, NY and NJ? Both of those states have higher over-all death rates than FL.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

no1marauder
Naturally Right

Somewhere Else

Joined
22 Jun 04
Moves
42677
Clock
18 Nov 21

@sh76 said
First, do you concede that COVID surges are primarily seasonal?

California has a very different climate pattern than Florida. Florida's peak season is naturally summer, while California's is not. Comparisons based on specific periods of time in different climates are apples and oranges.

Anyway, why compare FL to CA and not, say, NY and NJ? Both of those states have higher ...[text shortened]... than FL.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/
What BS as always. Compare Florida's death rate this year to those States.

sh76
Civis Americanus Sum

New York

Joined
26 Dec 07
Moves
17585
Clock
18 Nov 21
1 edit

@no1marauder said
What BS as always. Compare Florida's death rate this year to those States.
LMAO! Why? So we can cherry pick exactly so that the data supports your point?

Since infections build up immunity and kill off the most vulnerable, ignoring all of 2020 would be a truly absurd way to compare.

w

Joined
20 Oct 06
Moves
9627
Clock
18 Nov 21
1 edit

@sh76 said
First, do you concede that COVID surges are primarily seasonal?

California has a very different climate pattern than Florida. Florida's peak season is naturally summer, while California's is not. Comparisons based on specific periods of time in different climates are apples and oranges.

Anyway, why compare FL to CA and not, say, NY and NJ? Both of those states have higher ...[text shortened]... than FL.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/
Yeah we've been over that. Many viruses are seasonal.

We've been over your other point too. NY and NJ were hit with the initial early wave, when we didn't know how to treat it in the hospital, we didn't know it was airborne, vaccines didn't exist, we couldn't easily test for it, we weren't prepared with other tools to fight it, nurses and doctors were unable to find masks, grocery stores ran out of toilet paper, remember that?

The Florida wave was much much different. They had the tools to fight it and - when faced with a surge of cases - chose not to use them. In fact, they chose to actively prevent independently-run companies from using those tools. Their economy did better than California, that was the trade off.

shavixmir
Lord

Sewers of Holland

Joined
31 Jan 04
Moves
89770
Clock
19 Nov 21

@sh76 said
First, do you concede that COVID surges are primarily seasonal?

California has a very different climate pattern than Florida. Florida's peak season is naturally summer, while California's is not. Comparisons based on specific periods of time in different climates are apples and oranges.

Anyway, why compare FL to CA and not, say, NY and NJ? Both of those states have higher ...[text shortened]... than FL.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/
Well, I can’t say for sure in the US, but here in the Netherlands, if you’re vaccinated you are 17 times less likely to end up in hospital and 33 times less likely to end up in intensive care than unvaccinated people.

The vaccinated people who do end up in hospitals are either very old or have underlying health problems.

I, for the sake of rationality, presume that these figures will be matched, roughly, in the US.

The only weather condition which really seems to impact corona is very hot and dry climates. Corona spreads less easily then.

So, at a guess (Florida being warm and wet, like labia) it will be a mix of age and the percentage of people vaccinated which tally up the death count.
If the great lake people are younger and more vaccinated, the death count will be lower.

KellyJay
Walk your Faith

USA

Joined
24 May 04
Moves
160375
Clock
19 Nov 21

@shavixmir said
Well, I can’t say for sure in the US, but here in the Netherlands, if you’re vaccinated you are 17 times less likely to end up in hospital and 33 times less likely to end up in intensive care than unvaccinated people.

The vaccinated people who do end up in hospitals are either very old or have underlying health problems.

I, for the sake of rationality, presume that th ...[text shortened]... ath count.
If the great lake people are younger and more vaccinated, the death count will be lower.
I wonder if there is a correlation between people shipped in these high COVID areas that were infected as they crossed the border?

shavixmir
Lord

Sewers of Holland

Joined
31 Jan 04
Moves
89770
Clock
19 Nov 21
Vote Up
Vote Down

@kellyjay said
I wonder if there is a correlation between people shipped in these high COVID areas that were infected as they crossed the border?
Infected as they crossed the border?

MB

Joined
07 Dec 05
Moves
22641
Clock
19 Nov 21
Vote Up
Vote Down

@sh76 said
I don't know. Do you?
No, I don't.
I do remember when Brazil was having a lot of covid cases. I think the Philippines was having a rough time of it as well back then. I have not noticed a seasonal pattern myself. Not like the cold and flu anyway.
Don't get me wrong, I think there may be an uptick of cases in winter because people spend more time indoors. I just don't see a big difference like the cold and flu.

KellyJay
Walk your Faith

USA

Joined
24 May 04
Moves
160375
Clock
19 Nov 21

@shavixmir said
Infected as they crossed the border?
COVID positive people are coming in and, without precaution, are being shipped around the country; I hope this isn't news to you?

no1marauder
Naturally Right

Somewhere Else

Joined
22 Jun 04
Moves
42677
Clock
19 Nov 21
2 edits

@sh76 said
LMAO! Why? So we can cherry pick exactly so that the data supports your point?

Since infections build up immunity and kill off the most vulnerable, ignoring all of 2020 would be a truly absurd way to compare.
NY has had 19,600 COVID deaths this year. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-york/

NJ has had about 9,000. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-jersey/

Florida had about 20,000 in three months between July 1st and September 30. That was roughly the period DeSantis rolled back mitigation measures for political gain. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/

Must be "seasonal".

kmax87
Republicant Retiree

Blade Runner

Joined
09 Oct 04
Moves
107144
Clock
19 Nov 21
Vote Up
Vote Down

@sh76 said
LMAO! Why? So we can cherry pick exactly so that the data supports your point?

Since infections build up immunity and kill off the most vulnerable, ignoring all of 2020 would be a truly absurd way to compare.
My two cents is that the virus attacks in waves and could possibly be synced to seasonal changes such that the worst peaks would probably coincide with winter. On the way to winter you have Halloween Thanksgiving/Black Friday and the Yuletide season, with all the potential for super spreading events if you ignore social distancing and mask mandates during this period of intense social clustering. Is it just the weather, or does the weather encourage behaviour and closeness that is less common during warmer weather??

D

Joined
09 Jan 20
Moves
3568
Clock
19 Nov 21
1 edit

Remember back when Biden was campaigning he promised that when he got elected he'd "Stop Covid Flat!" and it would be all over shortly after he got in office ?
Whatever happened to that?

Contenchess
Contentious

Joined
01 Sep 21
Moves
14125
Clock
19 Nov 21
Vote Up
Vote Down

@dood111 said
Remember back when Biden was campaigning he promised that when he got elected he'd "Stop Covid Flat!" and it would be all over shortly after he got in office ?
Whatever happened to that?
LoL they failed.

But that's Trump's fault 🙄

Cookies help us deliver our Services. By using our Services or clicking I agree, you agree to our use of cookies. Learn More.