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@no1marauder said
The polling aggregates at Real Clear Politics and 538 will have Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump on September 10th, about two weeks after she is nominated at the Democratic Convention.
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@no1marauder saidI hope the energy and excitement VPKH is generating among the electorate broadens her base and we don't see a rise in support from say black women at the expense of say working class white folk living in the Appalachian's.
The polling aggregates at Real Clear Politics and 538 will have Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump on September 10th, about two weeks after she is nominated at the Democratic Convention.
@kmax87 saidLooking at the batch of polls that came out yesterday, I may well have underestimated how quickly Harris would overtake Trump.
I hope the energy and excitement VPKH is generating among the electorate broadens her base and we don't see a rise in support from say black women at the expense of say working class white folk living in the Appalachian's.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls/president/general-election
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@no1marauder saidThat she has raised such a record amount of money in so short a time to support her campaigning gives me hope that her appeal will be broad and sustained.
Looking at the batch of polls that came out yesterday, I may well have underestimated how quickly Harris would overtake Trump.
@no1marauder saidHarris has already overtaken Trump in the 538 aggregate by 1.5 points. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
The polling aggregates at Real Clear Politics and 538 will have Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump on September 10th, about two weeks after she is nominated at the Democratic Convention.
RCP still has Trump up, but by a rapidly dwindling 0.3 points in the 5 way. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris-vs-kennedy-vs-stein-vs-west
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@no1marauder saidWhy would anybody disagree with you when most polls are rigged?
The polling aggregates at Real Clear Politics and 538 will have Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump on September 10th, about two weeks after she is nominated at the Democratic Convention.
Polls only matter when they affect the vote. Are you predicting they will?
Or are you counting on people not knowing about Prison Slavery Kamala?
Here is a prediction. The polls will show that few people know about this:
https://theweek.com/speedreads/856243/tulsi-gabbard-slams-kamala-harris-prosecutorial-record
And the polls will also show that the vast majority of Americans think the CIA tried to assassinate Trump. Hey no1....where is the poll for that? Don't inquiring minds want to know? Doesn't the corporate news media want to talk about those polls? Why not?
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@no1marauder
The main issue I see is magites installing electoral college counters who will just say massive fraud and refuse to certify. There is already talk about that, which can blow most ANY gains by Kamala.
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97d
@no1marauder saidafter tomorrows debate I predict she is toast...she gone
The polling aggregates at Real Clear Politics and 538 will have Vice President Harris leading Donald Trump on September 10th, about two weeks after she is nominated at the Democratic Convention.
I predict dems will kick biden out and install her anyway...democracy be booming
"Election analyst Nate Silver gave former President Donald Trump a record-high probability of winning against Vice President Kamala Harris.
The bump came partially as a result of Sunday’s New York Times/Sienna poll, which Silver has as one of the highest-rated pollsters. Silver’s newest rating has Trump with a 63.8% probability, compared to Harris’s 36%. The former president is also favored to win every swing state."
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3146982/nate-silver-gives-trump-new-probability-high-of-victory/
seems you got egg on your face with your prediction... LOL
@Mott-The-Hoople saidActually I was right: 538 has Harris up 2.8 points. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
after tomorrows debate I predict she is toast...she gone
I predict dems will kick biden out and install her anyway...democracy be booming
"Election analyst Nate Silver gave former President Donald Trump a record-high probability of winning against Vice President Kamala Harris.
The bump came partially as a result of Sunday’s New York Times/Sienna poll, which ...[text shortened]... w-probability-high-of-victory/
[b]seems you got egg on your face with your prediction... LOL
RCP has Harris up 1.9 points.https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris-vs-kennedy-vs-stein-vs-west
EDIT: Well tomorrow is September 10th, so I'm not right yet.
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@Mott-The-Hoople saidDoesn't make sense because his election simulator, today, says that Kamala wins 55 out of 100 times.
after tomorrows debate I predict she is toast...she gone
I predict dems will kick biden out and install her anyway...democracy be booming
"Election analyst Nate Silver gave former President Donald Trump a record-high probability of winning against Vice President Kamala Harris.
The bump came partially as a result of Sunday’s New York Times/Sienna poll, which ...[text shortened]... w-probability-high-of-victory/
[b]seems you got egg on your face with your prediction... LOL
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96d
@wildgrass saidelectoral vs popular
Doesn't make sense because his election simulator, today, says that Kamala wins 55 out of 100 times.