60.4% in the 538 model:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/
65% in the HuffPo model
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-outlook
Both models, incidentally, were built by people who lean left (not that it really matters).
For those who have been so impressed by the effects of the ACA and think that all of the criticism of the President is GOP-inspired nonsense, would anyone care to speculate as to why many of the President's 2012 voters appear to be abandoning the Democratic party?
Originally posted by KazetNagorraThe GOP really is not running on anything other than people being pissed off with Obama.
It's the economy, stupid!
Or is it?
An example can be seen in Kentucky where a democrat candidate is refusing to say if she voted for Obama. Very odd.
Then when the US gets 2 years of the GOP do nothings in Congress, including giving up on repealing Obamacare, they will all turn to Hillary.
Wash, rinse, repeat.
Originally posted by sh76Try telling that to anyone, they will laugh at you..
The economy is doing better now than it was in 2012.
People are paying more for their health care and everyone feels inflation at the grocery.
The government is pumping money into the stock market as they further devalue the dollar, thus taking money out of everyones pockets to give to those on Wall Street......again.
Part time jobs are replacing full time jobs. People are giving up looking for work. Income is barely keeping up with inflation.
As the spending crisis generated in Washington begins to spiral out of control and inflation starts to explode and health care premiums continue to rise, it will all probably be blamed on the Tea Party in some way. If elected, the GOP will do NOTHING to stop all this, even if it were possible at this point.
Originally posted by whodeyDon't forget sh76 is a attorney in NYC.
Try telling that to anyone, they will laugh at you..
People are paying more for their health care and everyone feels inflation at the grocery.
The government is pumping money into the stock market as they further devalue the dollar, thus taking money out of everyones pockets to give to those on Wall Street......again.
Part time jobs are replacing ful ...[text shortened]... . If elected, the GOP will do NOTHING to stop all this, even if it were possible at this point.
Quite sure he is not bagging groceries part time at the Piggly Wiggly, nights and weekends to make ends meet. 😉
Originally posted by utherpendragonTrue, some people are insulated from all the crap done to the economy.
Don't forget sh76 is a attorney in NYC.
Quite sure he is not bagging groceries part time at the Piggly Wiggly, nights and weekends to make ends meet. 😉
No offense sh, but too bad we have attorneys running the government.
Originally posted by utherpendragonNo; just alternate weekends. 😉
Don't forget sh76 is a attorney in NYC.
Quite sure he is not bagging groceries part time at the Piggly Wiggly, nights and weekends to make ends meet. 😉
I'm not quite in NYC, but that's neither here nor there.
Anyway, I'm basing the statement on economic indicators like GDP growth and unemployment, not my personal experience.
15 Oct 14
Originally posted by sh76Yeah, I guess so. I find it quite fascinating that even with a health care system that's the laughing stock of the industrialized world Americans are so intent on preventing changes to it.
Yes, so if it's not the economy, what is it?
I submit that it's, at least, partly, the ACA.