If you get covid...

In the US what is the probability of death once you get sick if you are younger than 65?

Using known number of cases, I estimated the probability to be about .3 percent. Given that many covid cases go undocumented, the actual number is probably closer to .1 percent.

If a person younger than 65 does not get vaccinated and gets sick, then I estimate a 1 in 300 to 1 in 1000 chance of death.

Obviously if you do not get vaccinated covid will kill you. Yes that was sarcasm.

@eladar said
In the US what is the probability of death once you get sick if you are younger than 65?

Using known number of cases, I estimated the probability to be about .3 percent. Given that many covid cases go undocumented, the actual number is probably closer to .1 percent.

If a person younger than 65 does not get vaccinated and gets sick, then I estimate a 1 in 300 to 1 in 1000 ...[text shortened]... ance of death.

Obviously if you do not get vaccinated covid will kill you. Yes that was sarcasm.

@mghrn55 said
Your post suggests that you don't know what you are talking about.

1- where did you get the .3% from ? Is it your estimate as you say ?

2- if you take into account undocumented cases and revise your estimate, then that estimate should be revised upwards, not downwards. You teach math, you say ? 😅

3- if 1 in 300 did have any validity, that still leads to a very large ...[text shortened]... l us once and for all what you think should be our primary focus. For all of us, not just Americans.

@eladar said
Perhaps you can calculate an estimate.

I took the total number of known cases, divided that by 85 to estimate the average number of cases per based on age. I then multipled that by 65 to estimate the number of known cases for all people younger than 65.

I then divided the total number of covid deaths for ages younger than 65 by the total number of cases. The result was ...[text shortened]... ber you are dividing by, you make the result smaller.

100/2=50
100/4=25
100/50=2
100/10000=.01

Found a new source for numbers.

https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2020/coronavirus-deaths-older-adults.html

For those under 50, they represent about 65 percent of all cases, but only 5 percent of deaths.

That means about 25.8 million people who have had covid with resulting in 5 percent of deaths.

This results in a highest possible death rate of 1 in a thousand, probably at least 1 in 3000 taking into consideration all the unidentified cases.


What does this mean? For the average person covid is no threat.

@eladar said
Found a new source for numbers.

https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2020/coronavirus-deaths-older-adults.html

For those under 50, they represent about 65 percent of all cases, but only 5 percent of deaths.

That means about 25.8 million people who have had covid with resulting in 5 percent of deaths.

This results in a highest possible death rate ...[text shortened]... ion all the unidentified cases.


What does this mean? For the average person covid is no threat.

@no1marauder said
Could you tell that to the families of the approximately 125000 Americans under 65 who have died of this disease?

How many threads are you going to start with the same idiotic drivel?

@eladar said
If people had their vitamin levels checked and deficiencies corrected many of those people would have lived.

@no1marauder said
Still relying on the study by the Ethiopian dentists I see.

@eladar said
If people had their vitamin levels checked and deficiencies corrected many of those people would have lived.

If parents do not make sure their child has all the advantages possible to boost immunity and that child dies of covid, then that parent had a part in the child's death. There is no possible harm by simply making your child more healthy.

@mchill said
If people had their vitamin levels checked and deficiencies corrected many of those people would have lived.


and don't forget to ingest some household cleansers, take your hydroxychloroquine, and zap yourself with some UV rays - - to stay in the peak of health! 😏

Further reading to educate the ignorant...

Sufficient vitamin D levels in seniors and adults with a normal body weight appear to reduce the risk of severe illness and even death from the coronavirus, a Boston University Medical School study suggests.

“We concluded that being vitamin D sufficient above everything else was important in reducing many of the serious outcomes from the infection and reducing risk of death,” said Dr. Michael Holick, professor of medicine, physiology and biophysics at Boston University School of Medicine.

https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/04/17/boston-study-suggests-people-with-enough-vitamin-d-have-a-reduced-risk-of-dying-from-coronavirus/


I suppose No1 claims Boston is in Ethiopia. His ignorance knows no bound.

I suppose the UK is in Ethiopia as well

After adjustment for covariates, the habitual use of vitamin D supplements was significantly associated with a 34% lower risk of COVID-19 infection (OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.45-0.97; P = 0.034). 

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33515005/

A study from Spain, I suppose Spain is in Ethiopia like the UK.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34273098/

patients on calcifediol treatment achieving serum 25OHD levels ≥ 30 ng/ml also had lower risk of SARS-CoV2 infection, lower risk of severe COVID-19, and lower COVID-19 mortality compared to 25OHD-deficient patients not receiving vitamin D supplements (88/16276 [0.5%] vs 96/7616 [1.3%]; HR 0.56 [CI 95% 0.42-0.76], p < 0.001).

Conclusions: In this large, population-based study, we observed that patients supplemented with cholecalciferol or calcifediol achieving serum 25OHD levels ≥ 30 ng/ml were associated with better COVID-19 outcomes.

@eladar said
Perhaps you can calculate an estimate.

I took the total number of known cases, divided that by 85 to estimate the average number of cases per based on age. I then multipled that by 65 to estimate the number of known cases for all people younger than 65.

I then divided the total number of covid deaths for ages younger than 65 by the total number of cases. The result was ...[text shortened]... ber you are dividing by, you make the result smaller.

100/2=50
100/4=25
100/50=2
100/10000=.01