Well the core question in all this is; has Trump now got a net of more voters or less voters?
I suspect he has less voters, but a more enraged base through which to cast his hatred and threats of violence; which incidentally is what he was doing when he warned that the population would not tolerate an imprisonment.
@mchill saidTo me, the election comes down to one simple question: How much do voters blame Biden for the runaway inflation? If the answer is a lot, he'll lose. If the answer is not much, he wins. If the answer is somewhat, then it's a coin flip.
Can someone please describe to me the profile of the voter who didn't already despise Trump, as is on board and on board with and impressed by this prosecution? - - - Not many, that's for sure. It remains to be seen however how many swing voters will ditch him. I'll be checking the poll numbers after Labor Day for a clearer picture.
Everything else is a side show, though this prosecution probably helps Trump a little on the margins because it will spur donations to his campaign based on the persecution complex.
@sonhouse saidDon't you think the Biden, HRC, Romney, McCain and Obama campaigns had fixers whose job was to seek out and kill stories that could hurt their candidates?
@wildgrass
Except it was literally BOTH. If the story of Stormy had come out a week before the elections Hilary may have been POTUS and Trump knew that full well which is why he is a convicted felon now.
@sh76
If they did, where are the charges? You still think the whole thing was political? You don't find it a bad thing Trump did hush money a week before the election? If he hadn't Hillary may have been POTUS and the whole world would be different and not in this position it is in right now.
Do you seriously think the Trump years were good for the US? Totally ignoring Covid for months when he knew good and well how dangerous it was, this is the way to govern?
@sh76 saidIn 2022, when inflation was actually high (not running at present 3% levels which are historically on the low side), Democrats had a pretty good election esp. in the swing States Trump must flip with his endorsed candidates going down to defeat after defeat.
To me, the election comes down to one simple question: How much do voters blame Biden for the runaway inflation? If the answer is a lot, he'll lose. If the answer is not much, he wins. If the answer is somewhat, then it's a coin flip.
Everything else is a side show, though this prosecution probably helps Trump a little on the margins because it will spur donations to his campaign based on the persecution complex.
And Republicans forfeited the chance to run a "normal" campaign against an incumbent with low approval ratings when they decided to run the consistently unpopular Trump. Nothing suggests his campaign will be anything but 90% whining about the 2020 election being "stolen" and now how he is being persecuted. Those "issues" are unlikely to sway any amount of voters he needs to reverse the 2020 results; if anything the opposite is true.
I still rate Trump's chances of winning at somewhere near 10% and expect the polls will start showing that when 3rd party support begins to evaporate (as it always does).
@no1marauder saidObviously I hope you’re wrong. From the comedic perspective of: anything that makes me laugh is better than anything that doesn’t.
In 2022, when inflation was actually high (not running at present 3% levels which are historically on the low side), Democrats had a pretty good election esp. in the swing States Trump must flip with his endorsed candidates going down to defeat after defeat.
And Republicans forfeited the chance to run a "normal" campaign against an incumbent with low approval ratings w ...[text shortened]... ct the polls will start showing that when 3rd party support begins to evaporate (as it always does).
For my pals in the US: I hope you’re bloody right. Because anymore of this trump malarkey and sanity is going down the bloody drain.
@wildgrass
Kind of throws out the old law and order concept doesn't it? You are implying just because a dude or dudette is POTUS he or she is above the law.
Of course there is a certain amount of immunity due to the use of presidential power properly which could be say killing a nasty bomber in a foreign country like the ones perping 9-11 a POTUS would never be tried for that payback but if said POTUS actually did pull out a 45 and literally shoot someone at random in central park that is clearly not in his presidential wheelhouse, so he SHOULD be tried and convicted POTUS or not.
This is EXACTLY why Trump was caught flat footed committing felonies, 34 of them and the evidence was in absolute fact overwhelming and the defense was almost nonexistent, instead the whole shooting match of defense based on trying to discredit Cohen AND Trump never said a WORD in his own defense.
Trump refused to testify and THEN telling the public it was the judges fault because he had a gag order which was true he had a gag order because he viciously attacked the judge, the judges daughter, the jury, the DA and then saying the whole thing was a political hit job started by Biden.
All of that was total BS. Bragg was STATE prosecutor and Letitia James is NY AG not federal and not bespoken to Biden in any way and there was no communications with either of them.
Just BULLSHXTE puked out by Trump time and time again so OF COURSE his non thinking base just falls over and plays dead and they then think OF COURSE NOW the justice system is corrupt BECAUSE it was Trump convicted.
Of course if it had been Bill Clinton, Obama, Carter, whomever, just DEMOCRAT, HANG THE SOB and Justice is now served and all is well.
Talk about weaponization, repubs are the poster boy of weaponization.