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shavixmir
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Sewers of Holland

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09 Aug 21

@averagejoe1 said
Help me...am I wrong, or does Marauder ever have an original, personal opinion about anything ?
If your personal opinion is clutching at straws and constantly grabbing hold of paranoid consiracies and wrong decision making… then it’s probably best to do some research and learn something for once.

Just because someone thinks the Earth is flat, doesn’t mean that his opinion should be valued at all.

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@wildgrass said
what study? I think it's a great example since cases are high and there's nearly exactly 50/50 vaccination rate right now.
The study linked in the OP?

w

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@joe-shmo said
The study linked in the OP?
1) That's not a study. It's just data.

2) You were complaining that the data wasn't current (or was chronologically suspect? Or something?). But the data from Florida is current data. That's why I posted it. The current data corroborates what that other data also says.

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@wildgrass said
1) That's not a study. It's just data.

2) You were complaining that the data wasn't current (or was chronologically suspect? Or something?). But the data from Florida is current data. That's why I posted it. The current data corroborates what that other data also says.
It’s not a study? The authors didn’t just present data. They did some compilation and analysis. Sure seems like a bit of a study?

no1marauder
Naturally Right

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@joe-shmo said
It’s not a study? The authors didn’t just present data. They did some compilation and analysis. Sure seems like a bit of a study?
Sure a study that, despite your feeble nitpicking attempt, shows that the unvaccinated have a much greater chance of catching COVID19 and an even greater chance of being hospitalized or dying from it than those vaccinated.

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@no1marauder said
Sure a study that, despite your feeble nitpicking attempt, shows that the unvaccinated have a much greater chance of catching COVID19 and an even greater chance of being hospitalized or dying from it than those vaccinated.
Even if they collected data until July, the majority of deaths/hospitalizations they are using occurred before March ( in every state ). The vaccination rates before March are practically nil ( probably less than 20% by the beginning of March ) across the US. The "data" is heavily biased in favor of extremely high vaccine efficacy for this very reason.

w

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@joe-shmo said
It’s not a study? The authors didn’t just present data. They did some compilation and analysis. Sure seems like a bit of a study?
Irregardless. The point is you were complaining that the analysis wasn't appropriate because of the time course. But doing the analysis another way leads to the same conclusion. The CURRENT data out of Florida corroborates their findings.

In Florida (vaccination rate 49% ), RIGHT NOW, more than 90% of those hospitalized with COVID are unvaccinated.

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@wildgrass said
Irregardless. The point is you were complaining that the analysis wasn't appropriate because of the time course. But doing the analysis another way leads to the same conclusion. The CURRENT data out of Florida corroborates their findings.

In Florida (vaccination rate 49% ), RIGHT NOW, more than 90% of those hospitalized with COVID are unvaccinated.
Florida was not in the study, so it corroborates nothing. Using sound methodology, which they have not done is critical to the analysis and the findings in the report are skewed in favor of increased vaccine efficacy.

w

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@joe-shmo said
Florida was not in the study, so it corroborates nothing. Using sound methodology, which they have not done is critical to the analysis and the findings in the report are skewed in favor of increased vaccine efficacy.
Maybe you don't like it, but...

IT FITS THE MEANING OF THE WORD "CORROBORATE"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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@wildgrass said
Maybe you don't like it, but...

IT FITS THE MEANING OF THE WORD "CORROBORATE"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It does not "corroborate" the findings in the report. There was no analysis performed for the state of Florida. For Florida's current trend to "corroborate" the analysis, their needs to have been an analysis!

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@joe-shmo said
It does not "corroborate" the findings in the report. There was no analysis performed for the state of Florida. For Florida's current trend to "corroborate" the analysis, their needs to have been an analysis!
Sheeesh you're a tough customer. See a thing flying and twittering about and laying eggs but might not be a bird. Maybe it's this new thing that no one's ever seen or described before. Science still really hasn't proven that birds even exist.

How do you square that >90%+ of the hospitalized COVID patients currently in Florida are unvaccinated if the vaccine doesn't work?

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@wildgrass said
Sheeesh you're a tough customer. See a thing flying and twittering about and laying eggs but might not be a bird. Maybe it's this new thing that no one's ever seen or described before. Science still really hasn't proven that birds even exist.

How do you square that >90%+ of the hospitalized COVID patients currently in Florida are unvaccinated if the vaccine doesn't work?
Did I say vaccines don't work...no. Full Stop.

I said the study linked has piss poor methodology, and the figures presented ( like 0.09% of all COVID deaths are vaccinated in NJ ) are greatly exaggerated by this "study" across the board. Its trash analysis and should be treated as such. That is what I'm arguing. It is not ok as a "scientist" to misrepresent objective reality by TWO full orders of magnitude ( or more ) and not be criticized for it. The authors are acting as propogandists... not scientists.

s
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slatington, pa, usa

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@joe-shmo
So your bottom line is the delta variant is just another flu and nothing to see here, go back home folks?

w

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@joe-shmo said
Did I say vaccines don't work...no. Full Stop.

I said the study linked has piss poor methodology, and the figures presented ( like 0.09% of all COVID deaths are vaccinated in NJ ) are greatly exaggerated by this "study" across the board. Its trash analysis and should be treated as such. That is what I'm arguing. It is not ok as a "scientist" to misrepresent objec ...[text shortened]... ( or more ) and not be criticized for it. The authors are acting as propogandists... not scientists.
The data is incomplete for sure. There's no way to avoid studying this as a moving target. But they address the issue of vaccination rates as a caveat and the "implications" statements seem sound. Despite the caveats it's not all trash. We need to start somewhere, and their conclusions have been corroborated with recent state-level data showing that the overwhelming majority of current COVID hospitalizations are among the unvaccinated. The authors point out, "moving forward... more robust state-level data will help to monitor ongoing vaccine effectiveness..."

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@wildgrass said
The data is incomplete for sure. There's no way to avoid studying this as a moving target. But they address the issue of vaccination rates as a caveat and the "implications" statements seem sound. Despite the caveats it's not all trash. We need to start somewhere, and their conclusions have been corroborated with recent state-level data showing that the overwhelming majorit ...[text shortened]... oving forward... more robust state-level data will help to monitor ongoing vaccine effectiveness..."
"The data is incomplete for sure. "

Incomplete is not the correct word for it. The data is heavily skewed. They are dividing apples by oranges and getting cherries and calling it "science"...

"There's no way to avoid studying this as a moving target."

And as a moving target... they need to apply some statistical methodology, and lets see some error bars.

And if they are making such a egregious errors in something so fundamentally basic as this they aren't worth worth the time to even read the accompanying report.

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