Originally posted by KazetNagorraIt must suck doing a masters degree in physics and finding out the truth you were nothing but an ignorant the entire time.
Like I said, looks more like he's paranoid and/or delusional to me. A troll wouldn't put so much effort in a clearly flawed attempt at proving something.
Originally posted by Shallow BlueWhy would an astroturfer end up here, though? Why bother?
Nevertheless, stop the astroturfing already, chuck.
And guys, please stop trying to argue with the astroturfer. It'll never admit to the truth no matter how much you try to feed it facts. Facts do not exist unless they conform to the pet theory. Reality does not exist. Real science is futile. Just don't bother.
Richard
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earthquake
Earthquake clusters
Most earthquakes form part of a sequence, related to each other in terms of location and time.[15] Most earthquake clusters consist of small tremors that cause little to no damage, but there is a theory that earthquakes can recur in a regular pattern.[16]
Earthquake swarms
Earthquake swarms are sequences of earthquakes striking in a specific area within a short period of time. They are different from earthquakes followed by a series of aftershocks by the fact that no single earthquake in the sequence is obviously the main shock, therefore none have notable higher magnitudes than the other. An example of an earthquake swarm is the 2004 activity at Yellowstone National Park.[17]
Earthquake storms
Sometimes a series of earthquakes occur in a sort of earthquake storm, where the earthquakes strike a fault in clusters, each triggered by the shaking or stress redistribution of the previous earthquakes. Similar to aftershocks but on adjacent segments of fault, these storms occur over the course of years, and with some of the later earthquakes as damaging as the early ones. Such a pattern was observed in the sequence of about a dozen earthquakes that struck the North Anatolian Fault in Turkey in the 20th century and has been inferred for older anomalous clusters of large earthquakes in the Middle East
Originally posted by Shallow BlueWhat false evidence did I give? "It" isn't a crime to study data from the earth.
Kibo'ing its favourite subject, then butt in with false evidence to shill their theory. Note that it wasn't the astroturfer who started this thread.
Richard
Originally posted by AgergYou omited these ones.
Let's put it another way, suppose I fire up code::blocks and get it to run 500,000,000 trials of 10 coin flips and I treat each flip as having been performed each year.
If I extracted 11 contiguous trials where the data had the same relationship which supports your hypothesis should I then conclude there is a particular trend overall? Because that's what you seem to be asking of us with your earthquake hypothesis.
1897 6 12 11 6 Tsu * INDIA: ASSAM 26.000 91.000 33 8.7 *******
1897 9 20 19 6 * PHILIPPINES: NW MINDANAO: DAPITAN 6.000 122.000 33 8.6 ******
1897 9 21 5 12 Tsu * PHILIPPINES: MINDANAO, ZAMBOANGA, SULU, ISABELA 6.000 122.000 33 8.7 *******
1898 6 5 0 12 * JAPAN: OFF EAST COAST HONSHU 38.000 143.000 60 8.7 *******
Yet more evidence that the largest earthquakes occur in runs.
Originally posted by AgergStatistically speaking how many hundreds of years of repitition till the statistics would become viable?
Well the earth has been playing the earthquake game for a *long* time; indeed given the current estimate of the earth's age being ~4.6 billion years old (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Earth), and looking only as far back as say, a billion years, does it not seem even mildly plausible to you that a similar run could have happened during [b]at l ...[text shortened]... h that we have a world capable of supporting humans who measure quakes now)?
If not, why not?
Originally posted by KazetNagorraIs it part of your delusions to address posts not addressed to you or are you just an ignorant.? If someone claims my statistics are no good based on the "false" evidence that they give then it is allright for me to ask what is acceptable to them.
Why don't you study some statistics and find out?
Originally posted by KazetNagorra11 Significant Earthquakes where (Year <= 1930 and Year >= 1890) and (Primary Magnitude <= 9.0 and Primary Magnitude >= 8.5)
lol
1897 6 12 11 6 Tsu * INDIA: ASSAM 26.000 91.000 33 8.7 10 1542 4 4 4 4
1897 9 20 19 6 * PHILIPPINES: NW MINDANAO: DAPITAN 6.000 122.000 33 8.6 7 1
1897 9 21 5 12 Tsu * PHILIPPINES: MINDANAO, ZAMBOANGA, SULU, ISABELA 6.000 122.000 33 8.7 9 3 2
1898 6 5 0 12 * JAPAN: OFF EAST COAST HONSHU 38.000 143.000 60 8.7
1902 8 22 3 * CHINA: XINJIANG, TURKESTAN 39.880 76.200 30 8.6 10 2500 4 4 4 4
1906 1 31 15 35 51.0 Tsu * ECUADOR: OFF COAST 1.000 -81.500 25 8.8 9 1000 3 2 3
1907 11 16 10 10 * PERU -8.010 -76.790 150 8.7
1910 6 16 6 30 42.0 * VANUATU ISLANDS -19.000 169.500 100 8.6
1911 6 15 14 26 Tsu * JAPAN: RYUKYU ISLANDS 29.000 129.000 160 8.7 12 1 3 422 3
1914 11 24 11 53 30.0 * JAPAN: VOLCANO ISLANDS 22.000 143.000 110 8.7
1922 11 11 4 32 36.0 Tsu * CHILE: ATACAMA -28.500 -70.000 25 8.5
http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/nndc/struts/[WORD TOO LONG].5&st_4=9.[WORD TOO LONG]
Here is my "little thought" predictions, no watch list, if I am capable of doing that without crying wolf over the next 7-8'ish years and people getting their periods.
Japan (7.0-8.0) Aftershocks/ delayed earthquakes to be watched over the next few years. We have seen delayed large quakes happen in Indonesian
and NZ is a good example of how aftershocks even smaller can be just as devastating if not more to weakened infrastructure.
Then 1 of next 4 over 7-8ish years (around 9.0)
1) India/China region(This is my main area I will be watching),
2) Philippines(Japan may alter things but one would think if it was going to go it would've already
and in the area the earth seems to have used up a lot of energy and may be running out)
3) Equador/Peru (It's on the right but both were exceptions to the turn of the century and also Chile had a decent earthquake last year
which could affect change in the region)
4) I guess I should add Vanuatu as well
Also I will be watching Alaska as a result of their large quake in the 60's... not for a largest quake but around the same as Chile experienced 8.7.
lol@edits😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀