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Delta has peaked in the South

Delta has peaked in the South

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w

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@sh76 said
When Connecticut, New Jersey and Pennsylvania pass Florida in new cases per capita, are you going to say the same thing about them?
If a neighbor's house is on fire and she refuses to use available tools to put it out, whose fault is it when it lights mine on fire?

sh76
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@wildgrass said
If a neighbor's house is on fire and she refuses to use available tools to put it out, whose fault is it when it lights mine on fire?
If the available tools are high cost and of dubious utility, nobody's.

Anyway, blaming Florida schools being partially unmasked for COVID increases in other states is absurd.

w

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@sh76 said
You're assuming children masking works to significantly reduce the spread. Dubious.

If the issue is a small number having to quarantine for 7-10 days vs. everyone having to mask up, I'd have to weigh the numbers. I don't have a precise ratio, but my gut tells me that all-day masking is something like 1/5 to 1/10 as bad as e-learning. So, if you can show me that 10-20% of students are having to quarantine at any given time as a proximate result of not masking, I'll concede.
Texas is a good test case since about half of county school districts have mask mandates and half don't. The numbers strongly support the premise that masks worek.

https://www.kxan.com/news/education/central-texas-school-districts-without-mask-mandates-have-more-covid-19-cases-data-shows/

I don't have the data on percent of kids out of school due to quarantine at a time. Obviously muddled by which schools require masks. There's one news story in texas about a county that recently implemented a mask mandate after 13 percent were quarantined.

w

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@sh76 said
If the available tools are high cost and of dubious utility, nobody's.

Anyway, blaming Florida schools being partially unmasked for COVID increases in other states is absurd.
Tools to fight community spread is obviously not just masks in school.

But maybe I could also get out the garden hose and water my own house down. Luckily it appears cases are coming down nationwide, under 100,000 for the first time in 3 weeks.

sh76
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@wildgrass said
Luckily it appears cases are coming down nationwide, under 100,000 for the first time in 3 weeks.
Yup. As the wave in the South ebbs, the numbers will decrease for a few weeks. When autumn really starts to set in the upper midwest, you'll see the numbers start climbing again in all likelihood. Though, due to vaccines and prior infection immunity, the results shouldn't be nearly as bad as last year.

sh76
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Update:

"15 of the 16 states below the 37th parallel are currently showing an decrease in the #Covid19 hospitalization rate compared to two weeks ago (data: @nytimes). South Carolina is the only one up, by 3%. The US is split about in half for increase vs. decrease."

https://twitter.com/TheLawyerCraig/status/1440018452299780101

Nah. Seasonality ain't got nothin to do with it. It's all about masking 3 year olds.

no1marauder
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@sh76 said
Update:

"15 of the 16 states below the 37th parallel are currently showing an decrease in the #Covid19 hospitalization rate compared to two weeks ago (data: @nytimes). South Carolina is the only one up, by 3%. The US is split about in half for increase vs. decrease."

https://twitter.com/TheLawyerCraig/status/1440018452299780101

Nah. Seasonality ain't got nothin to do with it. It's all about masking 3 year olds.
And the seven day average of deaths is all the way down to 1594 per day as of Saturday!

All is well; throw those masks in the trash!

w

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@sh76 said
Update:

"15 of the 16 states below the 37th parallel are currently showing an decrease in the #Covid19 hospitalization rate compared to two weeks ago (data: @nytimes). South Carolina is the only one up, by 3%. The US is split about in half for increase vs. decrease."

https://twitter.com/TheLawyerCraig/status/1440018452299780101

Nah. Seasonality ain't got nothin to do with it. It's all about masking 3 year olds.
Sheesh. Hyperbole much? Sure, there's seasonality but that doesn't preclude benefits of mask use. If anything that makes florida mandates even dumber. Masking adults and kids is just one of the available tools.

AverageJoe1
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@wildgrass said
If a neighbor's house is on fire and she refuses to use available tools to put it out, whose fault is it when it lights mine on fire?
Wildgrass,,,,,an analogy. Love analogies. Of course it is not the fiery neighbor's fault; this assumes she did not see it coming. No duty of care to the neighbor if she was not negligent with gasoline, or some such. The insurance companies would hash it out, in any event.
So to your point. If my covid brain is on fire and I walk into your house with the purpose of giving you covid, a case can be made, like if I have HIV and lay with a woman. Where is the fine line crossed, in either case. Jury trial!

sh76
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@wildgrass said
Sheesh. Hyperbole much? Sure, there's seasonality but that doesn't preclude benefits of mask use. If anything that makes florida mandates even dumber. Masking adults and kids is just one of the available tools.
Where is the evidence that masking kids actually has much of an impact? There are certainly costs.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/08/the-science-of-masking-kids-at-school-remains-uncertain.html

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/09/school-mask-mandates-downside/619952/

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2781743

Even the WHO advises against masking 5 and under and is very ambivalent about ages 6-11

https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19

no1marauder
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@sh76 said
Where is the evidence that masking kids actually has much of an impact? There are certainly costs.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/08/the-science-of-masking-kids-at-school-remains-uncertain.html

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/09/school-mask-mandates-downside/619952/

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/fullarticle/2781743

Even the WHO ...[text shortened]... out ages 6-11

https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19
"Whether there is widespread transmission in the area where the child resides
The ability of the child to safely and appropriately use a mask
Access to masks, as well as laundering and replacement of masks in certain settings (such as schools and childcare services)
Adequate adult supervision and instructions to the child on how to put on, take off and safely wear masks
Potential impact of wearing a mask on learning and psychosocial development, in consultation with teachers, parents/caregivers and/or medical providers
Specific settings and interactions the child has with other people who are at high risk of developing serious illness, such as the elderly and those with other underlying health conditions."

That doesn't sound "ambivalent" to me given the conditions in most places in the US.

Of course, you know what the CDC and the American Academy of Pediatrics say, but for some reason you've gone all Metal Brain on this issue and think you know more than experts in the field.

You haven't really described any significant costs; some of the assertions made in the articles you mention have little scientific support:

"There doesn’t appear to be any research specifically on whether masking is detrimental to children’s social and emotional development, said Justina Schlund, senior director of content and field learning at the Collaborative for Academic, Social, and Emotional Learning, or CASEL."

https://www.edweek.org/leadership/face-masks-and-kids-separating-fact-from-fiction/2021/08

BTW, 2228 more deaths were reported from COVID in the US today.

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