01 Apr 20
@eladar saidYou would have to define what you mean by "waves" I've not read anything
Experts are predicting 3 waves of this Coronavirus.
Even if we did nothing and the virus spread unchecked, it would still have 3 cycles with two cycles free of the Coronavirus. Obviously social distancing is not going to change the basic nature of the cycle.
so a link would be appreciated. If you mean there will be 3 peaks then maybe,
but that will be determined by a country's response, not the virus. In NZ there
is talk of keeping the cases manageable perhaps by opening up different
regions at diffent times then shutting them down again. That would mean
the curve was just "bubbling" with many little humps (cycles?).
And I don't understand what you mean by it would still have
3 cycles with two cycles free of the Coronavirus. Free?
01 Apr 20
@divegeester
I am hoping to clear up misconceptions about this epidemic. It will hopefully calm down the hysteria.
@wolfgang59 saidIt means that this winter virus will go dormant during the summer like other winter viruses. When fall arrives the virus will likely start up again.
You would have to define what you mean by "waves" I've not read anything
so a link would be appreciated. If you mean there will be 3 peaks then maybe,
but that will be determined by a country's response, not the virus. In NZ there
is talk of keeping the cases manageable perhaps by opening up different
regions at diffent times then shutting them down again. That wou ...[text shortened]... hat you mean by it would still have
3 cycles with two cycles free of the Coronavirus. Free?
So in the Northern Hemisphere things will be winding down in the next couple of months. In the Southern Hemisphere things are just getting started.
01 Apr 20
@eladar saidHow exactly does a virus "go dormant"?
Or is it that the Coronavirus is a winter virus expected to go dormant over the summer months?
01 Apr 20
@eladar saidRemember writing this about summer colds?
[b]But summer colds can actually make patients feel sicker because they generate more symptoms. Both types of colds are characterized by a runny nose and other upper respiratory symptoms, but summer viruses can affect the whole system, not just the nose, causing flu-like symptoms https://healthcare-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html
They are very rare. I have gotten many colds over my lifetime, never in the summer.
Now you are an expert on these summer colds that never happen!
01 Apr 20
@wolfgang59 saidI'm old. I generally get a cold once a year.
Remember writing this about summer colds?
They are very rare. I have gotten many colds over my lifetime, never in the summer.
Now you are an expert on these summer colds that never happen!
I have had exactly ONE summer cold.
@wolfgang59
I can tell that you have not bothered to read the information I have provided in this thread.
The difference between summer and winter viruses was given from a Doctor working for UCLA.
University of California Los Angeles.
01 Apr 20
Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."But preventive measures are the same for both types of colds: wash hands often and well, and stay clear of people who are sick,” says Dr. Cohen.
https://healthcare-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html
How is the Coronavirus spread?
01 Apr 20
@eladar saidThis "information" is akin to saying "red roses are red,
Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."
while yellow roses are predominantly yellow".
@wolfgang59 saidIt fits what the experts say, deaths due to Caronavirus in the US by June will be below epidemic levels, approaching zero.
This "information" is akin to saying "red roses are red,
while yellow roses are predominantly yellow".
The only question is how many would die by then.
02 Apr 20
@eladar saidDo you get a little tingle every time someone dies of this virus?
I am not sure if everyone is on the same page here, at least not in this forum.
What do you believe will cause the end of this first round of the Epidemic? Is it that a certain amount if the populatiin will get infected then the virus will magically stop spreading, then magically start up again?
Experts are predicting 3 waves of this Coronavirus.
Even if we did noth ...[text shortened]... ng to change the basic nature of the cycle.
So what is going to bring this first round to a stop?
02 Apr 20
@eladar saidIt's a nice theory, but the problem with it is that we are seeing cases blowing up all over the world now. Brazil has more deaths than Sweden for example. Australia has more confirmed cases than Norway, Ireland and Denmark. There are reports coming out of Manila, Philippines, of hospitals being full of Covid-19 patients. Its currently 33C/92F there, the evidence doesn't fit your theory i'm afraid.
It means that this winter virus will go dormant during the summer like other winter viruses. When fall arrives the virus will likely start up again.
So in the Northern Hemisphere things will be winding down in the next couple of months. In the Southern Hemisphere things are just getting started.
02 Apr 20
@eladar saidThis is somewhat reminiscent of the advice for avoiding infection with SARS-CoV-2. Possibly summer colds are more likely to be caused by coronaviruses.
Summer colds are also spread differently. While winter colds are usually transmitted in enclosed rooms by respiratory droplets, summer viruses are spread through contact with body secretions and easily transmitted by children."But preventive measures are the same for both types of colds: wash hands often and well, and stay clear of people who are sick,” says Dr. Cohen.
htt ...[text shortened]... care-in-europe.com/en/news/no-summer-vacations-for-viruses.html
How is the Coronavirus spread?
02 Apr 20
1 edit
@eladar saidIt's 80 degrees in New Orleans:
It fits what the experts say, deaths due to Caronavirus in the US by June will be below epidemic levels, approaching zero.
The only question is how many would die by then.
"Along with New York and Seattle, New Orleans has emerged as one of the early U.S. hotspots for the coronavirus, making it a national test case for how to control and treat the disease. Chief among the concerns raised by doctors working in the Louisiana city is the death rate, which is seven times that of New York and ten times that of Seattle, based on publicly reported data."
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-new-orleans/why-is-new-orleans-coronavirus-death-rate-seven-times-new-yorks-obesity-is-a-factor-idUSKBN21K1B0
02 Apr 20
@proper-knob saidDue to the shortage of masks he would probably advise the population to keep their heads in their asses.
What would you do whodey? How would you manage this pandemic.