Debates
20 Dec 21
21 Dec 21
@sh76 saidA 165 voter sample? LMAO!
Keep thinking is that the problem is the evil white people and you probably haven't noticed that you're bleeding Hispanic support faster than a silver-spoon-up-the-ass college kid wearing a Che Guevara tee-shirt.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/584880-hispanic-voters-evenly-split-between-democrats-gop-wsj-poll
Biden beat Trump among Latinos 65% to 32% and House Democrats scored over House Republicans by 63% to 36%. https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results
@no1marauder saidNate Silver did a podcast in which he discussed that. He noted the low sample size on this cross-tab, but noted it was consistent with other recent data and called the headline a good use of polling.
A 165 voter sample? LMAO!
Biden beat Trump among Latinos 65% to 32% and House Democrats scored over House Republicans by 63% to 36%. https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results
Edit: Even at that sample size, the MoE is only 6.7%
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22 Dec 21
@sh76 saidYeah, but that 'Italian Satellite;
George Will
Mitt Romney
Steve Schmidt
Bill Kristol
Liz Cheney
Not sure why anyone would be offended by "Jewish Space Laser." Mine works great. Amazon delivered it by drone for Passover. Perfect for cooking Christian babies.
(too soon?)
interferes with my television signal.
22 Dec 21
@sh76 saidSure.
Nate Silver did a podcast in which he discussed that. He noted the low sample size on this cross-tab, but noted it was consistent with other recent data and called the headline a good use of polling.
Edit: Even at that sample size, the MoE is only 6.7%
l
Every once in a while when Trump was President, there'd be an outlier poll with a small sample size like this and we'd get headlines like "Trump triples share of Black vote!" I remember right wingers here starting threads trumpeting such nonsense.
I would bet Nate Silver any amount of money that Republican House candidates in 2022 and the Republican Presidential candidate in 2024 get right around a 1/3 of the Latino vote just like they did last year.
@sh76 saidIn fact, forget Nate Silver. You are asserting that the Hispanic-Latino vote is essentially tied now. Everyone is assuming next year's Congressional elections are going to be a Republican blowout. So I'll propose a little wager:
Nate Silver did a podcast in which he discussed that. He noted the low sample size on this cross-tab, but noted it was consistent with other recent data and called the headline a good use of polling.
Edit: Even at that sample size, the MoE is only 6.7%
I'll bet you $50 to be paid to the charity of the winner's choice that Democrats win the Hispanic-Latino vote by at least 15 points (measured by the CNN Exit poll, which is the same virtually all networks use) in next year's November House elections.
If you really believe the Democrats are "bleeding Hispanic support", you should be willing to put money where mouth is.
22 Dec 21
@no1marauder saidA bit shallow of a post. Your discontent with the present state of affairs is showing, perhaps.
You really hate the human race, don't you?
Right wingers seem intent on making as many people suffer and be miserable as possible. It's no wonder such an ideology can't muster majority support anymore.
You blatantly say that (all?) right wingers want people to suffer,. be miserable. You , Marauder, sinking to the level of the Jimmms of the world, say we want people to suffer. You say that. That we want people to suffer. Should I be offffeeennnnnnnnnddded? No, because you know me not. Nor any right wingers, apparently. So, nothing personal, thankfully. AvJoe works with At Risk children, but you couldn't know that. But so what. You would still rant on like the lib sheep with the talking points.
Rise Up!!!!, Marauder.
22 Dec 21
@no1marauder saidHow bout bet me? I like to gamble.
Sure.
l
Every once in a while when Trump was President, there'd be an outlier poll with a small sample size like this and we'd get headlines like "Trump triples share of Black vote!" I remember right wingers here starting threads trumpeting such nonsense.
I would bet Nate Silver any amount of money that Republican House candidates in 2022 and the Republican Presidential candidate in 2024 get right around a 1/3 of the Latino vote just like they did last year.
22 Dec 21
@no1marauder saidMake it $1000.00. See if Russ can work it out for the exchange.
In fact, forget Nate Silver. You are asserting that the Hispanic-Latino vote is essentially tied now. Everyone is assuming next year's Congressional elections are going to be a Republican blowout. So I'll propose a little wager:
I'll bet you $50 to be paid to the charity of the winner's choice that Democrats win the Hispanic-Latino vote by at least 15 points (measured ...[text shortened]... ve the Democrats are "bleeding Hispanic support", you should be willing to put money where mouth is.
22 Dec 21
@averagejoe1 saidI wouldn't trust you. You seem like the type who'd welch.
How bout bet me? I like to gamble.
I don't make wagers for anything over $50.
22 Dec 21
@no1marauder saidMy apologies, my saying that was a bit gauche. I guess I was a little excited seeing the prospects of maybe turning this whole mess around. Kill the bill, save America. My new phrase.
I wouldn't trust you. You seem like the type who'd welch.
I don't make wagers for anything over $50.
22 Dec 21
@no1marauder saidIt's a little early for that. If the election were tomorrow, I'd take that bet in a heartbeat, but as you say, the election is a long way off. If the data is similar next summer, you're on.
In fact, forget Nate Silver. You are asserting that the Hispanic-Latino vote is essentially tied now. Everyone is assuming next year's Congressional elections are going to be a Republican blowout. So I'll propose a little wager:
I'll bet you $50 to be paid to the charity of the winner's choice that Democrats win the Hispanic-Latino vote by at least 15 points (measured ...[text shortened]... ve the Democrats are "bleeding Hispanic support", you should be willing to put money where mouth is.
22 Dec 21
@averagejoe1 saidI've straight-up called you a liar before, and I see nothing in this post to make me change my mind.
A bit shallow of a post. Your discontent with the present state of affairs is showing, perhaps.
You blatantly say that (all?) right wingers want people to suffer,. be miserable. You , Marauder, sinking to the level of the Jimmms of the world, say we want people to suffer. You say that. That we want people to suffer. Should I be offffeeennnnnnnnnddded? No, bec ...[text shortened]... . You would still rant on like the lib sheep with the talking points.
Rise Up!!!!, Marauder.